Steve: 52 - 30 (12 perfect picks)
Josh: 49 - 33 (13 perfect picks)
Steve and I were pretty even in our last UFC picks. I think it’s safe to say that this sport is becoming very difficult to predict. Someone new steps in with different technique, someone older is just a half step to slow and what seems like an upset is actually the beginning of a solid run.
A half step too slow is a pretty accurate description of the two fighters headlining this event. Both men were dominant champions at one time but have now had difficulty advancing in difficult division. Clearly the winner of this fight will breathe a little more life into their career while the other might be stuck as a gate keeper of their respective division.
I don’t mean to down play it, this fight has the potential to be exciting and brutal. I just feel like there isn’t enough investment in either man because I doubt a title is in their future.
While this card does have some interesting matches, it is clearly a place holder for July’s UFC: 100 that is stacked. If you’re strapped for cash, skip this one and start saving for UFC: 100.
Rich Franklin Vs. Wanderlei Silva
Steve: Wanderlei, 1st KO. There is absolutely no reasonably way to believe that this is going to happen– I just want to see it happen so I am going to put it down there.
Josh: I agree with Steve, I so want to see Wanderlei crush Franklin. Sorry Rich, but I miss the days when fighting “The Axe Murderer” was like getting plastic surgery from a doctor armed with a brick. Silva does possess a powerful Muay Thai clench which Rich has had problems with. Silva by 2nd round KO.
Cheick Kongo Vs. Cain Velasquez
Josh: Kongo by decision. He’s a guy who gets better every time I see him, but at the same time he’s always seemed just a bit lacking. I think he has tools to win, just not in an exciting fashion.
Steve: Kongo, 3rd KO. Kongo has fought must tougher competition, and has figured out how to do some ground work, plus the larger sized Kongo has the reach advantage. I see him taking it, but it takes a while.
Mike Swick Vs. Ben Saunders
Steve: Swick, 2nd KO. Swick is a dominate and fast fighter who was on his way to a title shot at middleweight before dropping down. Saunders was VERY impressive with his muay thai in his last fight, but you have to get in close to make that happen… Swick has a SIGNIFICANT reach advantage over most of his fighters (though Ben has him in height) and has speed unmatched in the division… he will take it.
Josh: Swick, 1st round Submission. I don’t think Saunders has comparable tools to Swick and will probably be out of the fight before he knew it really got started.
Marcus Davis Vs. Dan Hardy
Josh: Dan Hardy is one tough guy and so is Davis. This has fight of the night potential with both guys trading big punches, but I see Dan Hardy coming out on top by a close decision.
Steve: Hardy, 1st KO. I love Marcus Davis and I hope I am wrong… but Dan Hardy has been SO impressive in his last two fights; Marcus has beat everyone in the last four years except for Swick… but he has SO much scar tissue, I see the ref stopping the bleeding. Sucks.
Spencer Fisher Vs. Caol Uno
Steve: Fisher, by decision. Caol’s only fight against an impressive opponent (Aoki) ended in his 2nd round defeat. Fisher is an impressive fighter who beats all but the best. Uno is not the best.
Josh: I just like Uno. He’s one of those guys who’s been around forever and I can’t help but root for him. Uno by decision.
Mirko Cro Cop Vs. Mostapha Al Turk
Josh: Cro Cop’s had trouble in the Octagon, but I think he didn’t take the differences between Pride and the UFC seriously. He’s not a moron, so I’m sure he’s been working on the problem spots. It doesn’t hurt that he’s been given a fight against someone he should smash. Cro Cop 1st round KO.
Steve: Cro Cop, 2nd KO. I don’t think Dana would bring back this cash cow to lose. Al Turk is a stepping stone to making Cro Cop a title contender.
Terry Etim Vs. Justin Buchholz
Steve: Etim, 2nd submission. I like Etim, and most of his wins are by sub, even though he has had a few decisions lately. I see him finishing this fight.
Josh: Etim by 1st round submission. I remember the first time I saw Terry Etim, I thought he was just some goofball, but he is definitely a problem.
Dennis Siver Vs. Dale Hartt
Steve: This is a tough one. Hartt is the guy who shattered Corey Hill’s leg. Siver hasn’t sucked. Let’s go Hartt by decision.
Josh: True, Corey Hill’s leg broke in half on Hartt’s shin, but that doesn’t mean he would have won that fight had the freak injury not happened. As far as I’m concerned, he’s yet to win on his own. I’ll go Silver by 2nd round KO.
Paul Taylor Vs. Peter Sobotta
Josh: Sobotta is German, so I’ll give him the hometown advantage. Sobotta by decision.
Steve: Taylor, 1st KO. His fast pace and hard punches will end this early.
Paul Kelly Vs. Rolando Delgado
Steve: Kelly, 1st KO. Another battlin’ Brit who wants to end the fight early. The height difference could make this a loss for me, but I see him working in close, taking him down and ground and pounding him out.
Josh: Delgado is a tall Jiu-Jitsu fighter that has long limbs. Very dangerous, especially to a shorter opponent. Delgado by 2nd round submission.
Denis Stojnic Vs. Stefan Struve
Josh: Stefan Struve in the 1st by being almost 7 feet tall, I mean KO.
Steve: Struve, 1st KO. Now this height difference will be the difference. Struve is a solid FOOT taller than Stojnic, who at 5′11″ should be fighting at welter or middle-weight.
John Hathaway Vs. Rick Story
Steve: Hathaway doesn’t know how to lose, and he has finished his last few opponents in the first round. That’s where this is headed. Hathaway, 1st KO.
Josh: It’s tough to argue with a perfect record. Hathaway, KO in the 2nd.